Market validation, end to end

A clear answer on whether your idea has a market.

Describe your idea once. We run the market scan and the qualitative research a careful founder would do, and return a verdict with the evidence behind it.

See a real verdict

Framing

Stage B ReportRUN · 2026·05 · ACH-2A7FComplete

Verdict · Negative

This idea likely won’t find a market in its current form.

Trigger0

4W context0

Barrier belief0

Activate belief0

Generated 2 min ago7 hypotheses · 192 focal users · Stage A + B

6–12 daysEnd to end, brief to report

$700–1,300Per run · no subscription

100–300Focal users mined per run

Every claimTraced to its source post

How it works

One screen of input. The rest happens without you.

Click through the four steps. These are the real product screens you see.

New run· unsaved ·Draft

Run name

What are you working on? The more detail, the better.

A neighbor-to-neighbor marketplace for renting specialized home-improvement tools (tile saws, pressure washers, augers) within a one-mile radius. Tension: DIYers buy expensive tools they use once. Hypothesis: hyperlocal peer rental will see repeat usage among suburban homeowners.

Target countries

United States Canada + add country

Stages

Stage A · Pre-flight scanMap your category, competitors, market signals.

240 tokens

Stage B · Qualitative discoveryHypothesis bank, focal users, evidence-traced quotes.

760 tokens

Stage C · Quantitative validationAvailable in V2.

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Stage D · In-market testAvailable in V3.

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We’ll extract anything you skipped during Stage A.Start run

Token balance2,000This run1,000

A sample finding

The actual Stage B report. Anonymized.

Hover a score for its evidence trace

Stage B ReportRUN · 2026·05 · ACH-2A7FComplete

Verdict · Negative

This idea likely won’t find a market in its current form.

Of seven hypotheses tested, two met your Recommended thresholds and five did not. Tool-purchase regret is well attested across the corpus, but logistics friction and trust-in-strangers recur as decisive barriers to a hyperlocal peer-rental flow.

Hypothesis H-3One of seven tested in this run.
Demoted

“Suburban homeowners with active DIY routines will repeatedly rent specialized tools from neighbors within walking distance instead of buying.”

Trigger0

4W context0

Barrier belief0

Activate belief0

Supporting

“I needed a tile saw for one weekend. Paid $380 at the big-box place. It’s been in my garage for two years. Used it twice.”

Reddit · r/HomeImprovement · u/parsleyflats · Mar 2026

Disconfirming

“The last thing I want on a Saturday morning is to coordinate a pickup window with a stranger four blocks away. Home Depot is open at 6am and the saw is there.”

YouTube · DIY Den · top-comment thread · Jan 2026

Robustness: DemotedMethodology Share link Download PDF

Why this exists

The honest research that should happen first usually doesn’t.

Same posture a careful researcher takes — falsification, traceable evidence — run end to end and priced like research, not like SaaS.

A round of user interviews

Acheiro

Time end to end

About four weeks

6–12 days

Cost

$3,000–$6,000

$700–$1,300

Sample size

12 people

100–300 focal users

Evidence trail

Hand-written notes

Linked source post for every quote

Methodology

Improvised per researcher

Yale BEI · falsification · audit log

Posture

Open-ended exploration

Test where the idea fails

Figures from typical seed-stage research vendor quotes, 2025.

Pricing

Pay per run. No subscription.

Token bundles, priced once. Tokens don’t expire. Run Stage A on its own to gut-check a category, or commit to Stage A + B and walk out with a verdict.

See the full pricing

Stage APre-flight scan, market signals, threshold approval.from $200

Stage A + BFull qualitative validation. Verdict, hypothesis bank, evidence.from $700

Stage CQuantitative panel survey, element-by-element diagnostic.V2

Stage DIn-market test on paid short-form video.V3

FAQ

Questions founders ask before their first run.

What do you mean by “verdict”? Will you tell me to kill my idea?

A verdict is one short sentence stating what the evidence supports — phrased as a conclusion a careful analyst would state, not a prescription. We never tell you to kill your idea. We state which of the kill thresholds you approved at the start of the run were met, and which were not. The decision is yours.

How is this different from interviewing users myself?

Twelve well-run interviews cost $3,000–$6,000 and take roughly a month. We mine the consumer voice that already exists on Reddit and YouTube, typically hundreds of focal users per run, under a documented methodology. We aren’t faster than a researcher; we’re cheaper, more comprehensive, and end to end. If your category doesn’t live online, the pre-flight scan flags that before you spend a Stage B token.

Where does the qualitative evidence actually come from?

Reddit and YouTube comments in V1, scoped to the communities and channels your target consumer talks in. Every quote in your report links back to its source post. We work under the official Reddit Data API and respect deletion propagation. TikTok and Instagram are on the roadmap.

What if my category isn’t well-represented on Reddit or YouTube?

Stage A — the pre-flight scan that runs before Stage B begins — checks where your target consumer talks about their problems. If your audience sits primarily on TikTok, in private communities, or in a vertical we can’t reach yet, Stage A surfaces this as a risk flag and you can stop before paying for Stage B.

How long does a run take?

Stage A completes in roughly four to twelve hours. Stage B in three to six days. Tokens for each stage are reserved at the start and consumed as the stage begins; if a stage fails, the unconsumed tokens are credited back automatically.

Can I read the full methodology?